Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How has Pegula's second serve been performing recently? Pegula has won 44.53% of points from her second serve in the past six months, outperforming Swiatek who has won 39.18% in this category.
• When returning opponents' second serves, who performs better? Swiatek edges slightly ahead, securing 48.01% of return points, while Pegula wins 47.9%.
• What is the players' success rate on first serve returns? Pegula has won 29.14%, just slightly more than Swiatek's 28.89%.
• Under pressure, who saves more breakpoints? Pegula has saved 53.35% of breakpoints compared to Swiatek's 45.07%, indicating her stronger nerve in high-pressure scenarios.
• Looking at overall match win percentage over the last year, who has the edge? Swiatek has a better win rate at 78.26% compared to Pegula's 72.97%.
• On which surface do they perform best? Pegula excels on Hard courts with a 67% win rate, while Swiatek is dominant on Clay with an impressive 87% win rate.
• In Masters series play, how do their performances compare? Swiatek has fared slightly better, winning 73.33% of her matches to Pegula's 68.57%.
• Direct H2H records show what outcome? Swiatek leads with 6 wins to Pegula's 4 in their previous 10 encounters.
• What interesting stats come from their head-to-head matches? In deciding sets, Pegula has a 2-1 advantage over Swiatek, although Swiatek has won both tiebreaks they've played.
• What about the quality of their opponents? Pegula's recent opponents have an average rank of 52, marginally higher than Swiatek's at 54.09.
• Who has demonstrated better breakpoint conversion in recent form? Swiatek has converted 37.22% of breakpoints, compared to Pegula's 34.08%.
• In deciding sets, who performs better historically over the past year? Swiatek has an edge, winning 71% of deciding sets, whereas Pegula has won 65%.
• What was the outcome of their last match? Pegula won comfortably in straight sets 6-2, 6-4 at the U.S. Open on a Hard court.

Editorial Prediction (June 27, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the recent performance metrics, including second serve efficiency, pressure management on breakpoints, and head-to-head history, both players present a competitive matchup. Despite Swiatek's slightly better overall win percentage and superior performance in Masters series events, Pegula shows remarkable resilience under pressure, saving more breakpoints and excelling in deciding sets recently.

The surface also plays a significant role; with Pegula showing strength on Hard courts where this match will take place. Additionally, Pegula's recent successes against Swiatek, particularly the win at the U.S. Open, bolster her confidence on this surface.

Considering their comparative strengths, recent form, and tendencies in pressurized situations, while both players have their merits, Jessica Pegula appears to have a slight edge for this upcoming match. Thus, Pegula is the predicted winner.